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This white paper discusses multi-causal analysis as a way of integrating consumer demand information with shipment forecasts to capture the impact of marketing activities on shipments. With improvements in technology, data collection, data storage and analytical knowledge, CPG companies are now looking to integrate consumer demand with their shipment forecasts to capture the impact of marketing activities on shipments. As a result, multi-tiered causal analysis (MTCA) is receiving renewed interest. This paper explains the MTCA process, including an anonymous beverage industry case study that describes the process used to develop and link the Consumer Demand and Factory Shipment models. The by-product of this process was a more accurate forecast that reflected the company's marketing investment strategy.
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