Predicting Recidivism
Recidivism is a drain on the justice system. According to a recent report from the National Audit Office, re-offending by
recent ex-prisoners costs the UK economy between £9.5 billion and £13 billion a year. A reduction of just 1 or 2 percent would
make a huge difference.
But it's not just a financial problem. Recidivism has a negative impact on all the institutions that have to deal with the
consequences of it. And it also has an affect on people - the people who administer our justice system, the offender's friends
and family, and, perhaps most importantly, the victims of crime.
Reducing recidivism is a challenging task. There are many programmes in place, and many systems that hold data about their outcomes.
Some of these programmes may be effective, and well worth extending or copying, but it is not easy to work out their effectiveness
because the data is held across multiple systems and it just doesn't join up.
SAS can help you make sense out of this mass of data. It can by help you predict recidivism so that you can take the correct
decisions needed to reduce it.
The information and data is key to the decision making process.
Paul Quander, Director of CSOSA
(Court Services and Offender Supervision Agency, Washington, DC)
How can SAS help?
The benefits of using SAS are enormous. It can help you prevent crime, increase public safety, and administer justice more fairly by:
- Linking up multiple systems. You can combine data from Crown & Magistrates' Courts, Prisons, Probation and Youth Offending, giving you a solid basis for your decisions.
- Measuring the effectiveness of programmes. You can see which programmes work best for which offenders, and work out the factors that affect their likelihood to reoffend.
- Managing the risks. You can estimate the danger period when an individual is most likely to reoffend, and identify the parolees who would be the greatest danger to the public if they did reoffend.
- Deploying resources effectively. You can work out the most efficient way to use limited resources so that you achieve the greatest impact from education, skills training and rehabilitation programmes.
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