F2008

Speakers

(This is a current list of speakers. For additional speakers, please visit again soon.)

Co-Chairs

Charles Chase, Practice Manager, SAS
Jerry Oglesby, SAS

Keynote Speakers

David A. Dickey, North Carolina State University
Paul Goodwin, University of Bath, UK
Kenneth B. Kahn, Purdue University & Charles Chase, Practice Manager, SAS
Larry Lapide, MIT
Michael J. Leonard and Michele A. Trovero, SAS
Nada Sanders, Texas Christian University

Session Speakers

Mary Cote, e-Business Consultant
Prashant Dave, David Nehme and Julia Morrison, Marriott International, Inc.
Brian Dolan, Fox Interactive Media
Romulo Gayoso, Intel
Richard Hansen, Maidenform
Lauge Valentin Jensen, LEGO Group
Carlos Jimenez, Starbucks Coffee Company
Todd Kirk, Middlegame Marketing Sciences, LLC
Michael Leonard, SAS
Kevin McCormack, DRK Research
Julia Morrison, David Nehme and Michele Meyers, Marriott International, Inc.
Peter Mueller, Epicenter Consulting, Inc.
Tom Reynolds, John Deere Agricultural Marketing Center
Vic Richard, SAS
Anne G. Robinson and N. Grace Hua, Cisco Systems, Inc.
Jim Stewart & John Willey, The Cadmus Group, Inc.
Tom Zougas, SAS
Charles Chase As practice manager, Charles Chase is the principle architect and strategist in delivering finished goods forecasting solutions to improve SAS customers supply chain efficiencies. Chase has more than 26 years of experience in the consumer packaged goods industry, and is an expert in sales forecasting, market response modeling, econometrics and supply chain management.

Previously, Chase worked as the Senior Vice President of Information Resources Inc.'s Sales Forecasting Practice. Prior to working at IRI Chase worked at the SAS Institute Inc. where he led the strategic marketing activities in support of the launch of SAS Forecast Server, which won the "Trend-Setting Product of the Year" award for 2005 by KM World magazine. He has also been involved in the re-engineering, design, and implementation of three forecasting/marketing intelligence process/systems. His employment history includes the MENNEN Company, Johnson & Johnson, Consumer Products Inc., Reckitt & Colman, Inc., the Polaroid Corporation, Coca Cola, Wyeth-Ayerst Pharmaceuticals, and Heineken USA.

Chase's authority in the area of forecasting/modeling & advanced marketing analytics is further exemplified by his prior posts as associate editor of the Journal of Business Forecasting and chairperson of the Institute of Business Forecasting (IBF) Best Practices Conferences. Chase is currently an active member of the Practitioner Advisory Board for Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. He has authored several articles in the area of sales forecasting, market response modeling, and has lectured at the Graduate School of Business Administration, St. Johns University, Graduate School of Management, Georgia Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, MIT, Information Systems Research Center, University of North Texas, Agricultural School of Economics, Texas A&M, University of Tennessee at Knoxville Sales Forecasting Management Forum Conference, and most recently at the Institute of Retail Management, Templeton College, University of Oxford. Chase has also been a guest lecturer at several major corporations, including Amgen, Aventis, E&J Gallo Winery, Hewlett-Packard Imaging & Printing, Kellogg USA, Inc., MagneTek, Inc., McNeil Consumer Products, Ocean Spray Cranberries, Inc., SAP-AG, Germany, and S-B Power Tools.

Chase was named "2004 Pro to Know" in the 2004 February/March issue of Supply & Demand Chain Executive Magazine.

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Mary Cote Mary Cote, CPIM graduated with a Business Management degree with a major in Accounting from Dalhousie University, in Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. She recently earned her CPIM designation from APICS.

Directly from University, Mary worked for the privately owned Irving group of companies in Dieppe, New Brunswick, Canada. The group includes companies such as Cavendish Farms, Irving Tissue, Irving Personal Care, Midland Transport, and some others.

Her first role started as a Buyer for two years while also being involved in groups for information system transitions and implementations. To increase exposure to the Supply Chain, Mary then moved to the Logistics group as a Financial Analyst. The role allowed her to fully appreciate the cost implications involved with poor planning in freight and warehousing. She then took on the newly created role of Demand Planner and was responsible for creating the baseline and process to strive for better forecast accuracy. After twelve months, the company successfully reduced its forecast error by 25%. She then evolved into the Supply Chain Planning Manager role, where she managed the responsibilities of the Sales Forecast, Capacity Planning, Inventory Management and Deployment to all warehouses for three manufacturing plants.

Since 2004 Mary has made presentations at the Institute of Business Forecasting (IBF) conferences on forecasting topics where she also co-chaired round-table events in the consumer packaged goods and food and beverage industries. In 2006 and 2007, she presented at the APICS Conference and chaired a round table. She also presented in June 2007 at the SAPICS conference in Sun City, South Africa.

In 2007, after seven years as a practitioner, Mary made a career move into consulting for Deltaware Systems Inc in Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island, Canada where she is a Business Consultant in the Oracle product division. She applies her business knowledge of processes and best practices to the segments of supply chain management, sales and marketing as well as financial applications for the Manufacturing, Public Sector, Retail and Education industries with the various clients of DeltaWare Systems.

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Prashant Dave Prashant Dave is currently a Systems Consultant in the Operations Research Center of Excellence at Marriott International, where he contributes to the evolution of a decision analytic system that enables the practice of revenue management. While at Marriott, he has worked on projects in demand forecasting, resource optimization, performance measurement and software development. Prior to joining Marriott, Prashant was a member of technical staff at i2 Technologies, where he developed algorithms and software in supply chain management. His career began as a research engineer at The Dow Chemical Company.

Prashant received a Bachelor's in chemical engineering from the Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur; a Master's in computer science and a Ph.D. in chemical engineering from Purdue University, where he was awarded the Purdue Research Foundation fellowship. He has published several research papers in peer reviewed journals in the field of process systems engineering; and is a member of Tau Beta Pi, the national engineering honor society.

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David Dickey David Dickey is currently a professor in the Department of Statistics at North Carolina State University. He has a Master's degree in Math from Miami University in Oxford, Ohio, and a PhD in Statistics from Iowa State University. His research focuses on time series analysis, dealing with data taken over time. In addition to writing four books, Dr. Dickey has been published in numerous papers and has given over 50 presentations at a variety of professional events and organizations. He has also been recognized as a member of the Academy of Outstanding Teachers at N.C. State University.

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Brian Dolan Brian Dolan is the Director of Research Analytics at Fox Interactive Media. He holds his M.S. in Bio-Mathematics from the David Geffen School of Medicine. He specializes in leveraging tools from bio-informatics and machine learning against difficult marketplace design and forecasting issues.

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Romulo Gayoso Romulo Gayoso is Staff Finance Engineer, specializing in strategic capacity planning, for Intel Corporation. He also serves as an instructor at the University of Phoenix, teaching courses on Globalization and Economics for Management. He also teaches Economics, and War Games and Business and Competitive Intelligence at Intel University in Arizona.

Gayoso's recent presentations include (with E. Rodriguez) Practical Application of Prediction Markets Forecasting Techniques: High Tech Case Example at the Institute of Business Forecasting (IBF)'s 2008 Supply Chain Planning & Forecasting Conference; and A Success Story: Competitive Intelligence as a Tool to Increase Revenue at Frost & Sullivan's 11th Annual Market Research Executive MindXchange conference. His publications include Organization Cultural Characteristics applied to Semiconductor Manufacturing in Proceedings of the 2007 Economics & International Business Research Conference; (with K. Husar) "Buy Side Market Intelligence Practice: Reflections from High Tech Manufacturing" in Competitive Intelligence (Nov/Dec 2007); and "Issues with Life-Cycle in the Semiconductor Industry" in Proceedings of the 12th Annual International Conference on Industrial Engineering Theory, Applications and Practice and the 2007 International Journal of Industrial Engineering .

Gayoso earned his MBA and Master of Science from Arizona State University.

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Paul Goodwin Paul Goodwin is Professor of Management Science in the Management School at the University of Bath (UK). He has a degree in Economics from the University of Liverpool, a Masters degree in Management Science from the University of Warwick and a PhD in Management Science from Lancaster University. His research interests concern the role of management judgment in forecasting and decision making and he has published three books, and over thirty research papers in journals. In addition, he is an Associate Editor of the International Journal of Forecasting and three other international journals and a Director of the International Institute of Forecasters. With a colleague at Lancaster University, he has just completed a large UK government funded research project that investigated the use of forecasting systems in supply chain companies.

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N. Grace Hua N. Grace Hua is a Forecast Practitioner in the Analytical Forecasting & Modeling team at Cisco. She is responsible for providing a monthly forecast for product demand in the high end space. She also generates a sell-through forecast to support Cisco's collaboration with downstream supply chain partners. Prior to joining Cisco, Hua worked at Proctor & Gamble Co. (formerly the Gillette Co.) in both the Global Supply Planning organization and the Global Technical and Manufacturing organization. Hua holds a doctoral degree in supply chain management from Boston University, and a BS degree in mathematical sciences from Tsinghua University.

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Lauge Valentin Lauge Valentin Jensen is a Manager in the Market and Operations Development area in the LEGO Group, where he develops methods and processes for the forecasting organization. He previously worked on performance measurement for a leading European consultancy firm. Lauge received his MSc degree from the Aarhus School of Business (University of Aarhus) in Denmark.

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Carlos Jimenez Carlos Jimenez is presently the manager of procurement development for Starbucks Coffee Company in Seattle, Washington. Prior to this role, he held positions in operations, finance and demand forecasting and planning. He has been with Starbucks for the past 10 years. Prior to joining Starbucks, he worked as an economist and forecaster at the Inter American University of Puerto Rico in San Juan. He holds a M.A. in Economics from the University of Puerto Rico, Rio Piedras Campus.

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Kenneth B. Kahn Kenneth B. Kahn, PhD (BIE, Georgia Institute of Technology; MSIE, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; PhD in Marketing, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University) is Professor of Industrial Technology and the Avrum and Joyce Gray Director of the Burton D. Morgan Center for Entrepreneurship at Purdue University. His teaching and research interests concern product development, product management, and demand forecasting of current and new products. He has published in a variety of journals, including the Journal of Product Innovation Management, Journal of Business Research, Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Business Forecasting, Journal of Business Logistics, Marketing Management, and R&D Management. He is the author of Product Planning Essentials (Sage Publications, 2000) and New Product Forecasting: an Applied Approach (M.E. Sharpe, 2006) and is editor of the PDMA Handbook on New Product Development, 2nd Edition (Wiley & Sons, 200 4).

Prior to joining Purdue University, Dr. Kahn was the co-founding Director of the University of Tennessee's Sales Forecasting Management Forum ? an education and research consortium involving market analysis and sales forecasting. He also previously was Director of Georgia Tech's Marketing Analysis Laboratory and co-founder of Georgia Tech's Collaborative Product Development Laboratory, both of which conducted corporate-sponsored research. Dr. Kahn is currently Vice President of Publications for the Product Development & Management Association.

Dr. Kahn's industrial experience includes serving as an industrial engineer and project engineer for the Weyerhaeuser Company and a manufacturing engineer for Respironics, Inc. He has consulted with and facilitated benchmarking sessions with numerous companies, including 3M, Acco Brands, Alticor Corporation, Amgen, Biolab, Borden, Cargill, Cheps USA, Ciba Specialty Chemicals, Coca-Cola, Corning, Enterasys Networks, Gillette, Hanes/L'eggs, Hewlett-Packard, Lifescan, Mary Kay Cosmetics, McNeil Consumer Healthcare, Miller Brewing Company, Moen, Motorola, Mrs. Smith's Bakeries, Nabisco, Pharmavite, Schering-Plough, Smithkline-Beecham, Springs Industries, Symbol Technologies, Tropicana, Unilever and Xerox.

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Todd Kirk Todd Kirk

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Larry Lapide Dr. Lapide managed the launch of MIT's Supply Chain 2020 Project researching the future of Supply Chain Management (SCM). He is currently an advisor to the project and is the director of CTL's Demand Management research initiatives. He is also responsible for its Strategy Alignment research and training program.

He has more than twelve years of experience in supply chain and marketing consulting, ten years of management experience in the high tech sector, and seven years as a supply chain technology market analyst; as well as ten years experience in college teaching on a part-time basis.

Dr. Lapide is a frequent presenter at supply chain events and has written numerous publications including his co-authorship of a Council of Logistics Management (CLM) book, E-Business: The Impact on Supply Chain and Logistics. He was profiled in 2001 by Supply Chain Technology News magazine as one of four top thought leaders in supply chain and in 2006 in Supply Chain Management Review magazine's Profiles in Leadership column. DCVelocity magazine named him as a 2007 Logistics Rainmaker. He was most recently on the staff of AMR Research, a technology market analyst firm specializing in software business applications, serving variously as VP and Service Director for Supply Chain Strategies, as VP of Research Operations for Business Applications, and as the GM for Benchmarking Services. Dr. Lapide has also worked with Accenture, Data General, and Arthur D. Little.

He holds a BSEE from The Cooper Union, an MS in EE from MIT, and a Ph.D. in Operations Research from the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business.

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Dr. McCormack Dr. McCormack is currently President of DRK Research and an adjunct professor at North Carolina State University and the University of Oklahoma. He has over 30 years of business leadership, engineering, teaching, research and consulting experience in the areas of information technology, operations management, and supply chain management. His experience covers many national and international industry segments and a broad range of business processes. He has been a member of, or has successfully conducted engagements with, several government agencies and major companies in the food, forest products, oil and gas, pharmaceutical, chemical, consumer products, high tech and the plastics industry. Some of his past clients include Kraft, Philip Morris, CPC International, Cargill, Texas Instruments, USMC, Phillips Petroleum, Chevron-Phillips, Suncor Energy, Shell, Mobil, Columbia Forest Products, Dow Chemical, Warner-Lambert, Standard Charter Bank, Microsoft, Intel, Tektronix, several state governments, Borden Chemical, California Public Employees Retirement System (CalPERS), Wal-Mart, Campbell's, General Mills, Fairchild Industries and PepsiCo.

Dr. McCormack is also a judge for the Manufacturer of the Year award for the state of Alabama, home of several international manufacturers' locations (Honda, Mercedes, Lockheed, BASF, Nucor, U.S. Steel, and Siemens Automotive) as well as dozens of defense and automotive suppliers.

Dr. McCormack has degrees in Chemistry, Engineering, an MBA and a DBA. He has also developed and delivered courses in Information Technology and Operations Management at the graduate and undergraduate level both in the U.S. and in Europe. He has published four books and several articles in Quality Progress, Business Process Management Journal, Supply Chain Management, Benchmarking: A International Journal and several others.

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Dr. Peter Mueller Dr. Peter Mueller has consulting expertise in forecasting, new products and marketed products, strategic marketing, sales force sizing and optimization, new product launch, global marketing and technology evaluations.

Prior to his consulting activities, Dr. Mueller spent 21 years in the Pharmaceutical Industry. He held key positions during his career as Vice President Global Marketing, Information & Technology, Aventis, Bridgewater USA Vice President Global Marketing, Business & Marketing Services Hoechst Marion Roussel USA Director Global Marketing, Cardiovascular and Metabolic TA, Marion Merrell USA Director Global Business Intelligence and Forecasting, Marion Merrell Dow USA General Manager Switzerland, Marion Merrell Dow Director Business Development Europe, Marion Merrell Dow Europe Director Marketing Research and Planning for Europe, Merrell Dow Europe Product Manager, Richardson Merrell German.

Dr. Mueller holds a Ph.D. in Pharmaceutical Chemistry from the University of Mainz (Germany). He has lectured extensively throughout Europe, the United States and Japan at universities and conferences.

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Michele Meyers Michele Meyers is a Senior Systems Analyst at the Operations Research Center of Excellence at Marriott International, where she contributes to team solving problems in total hotel revenue management. While at Marriott, she has worked on group pricing analysis, development of a group pricing optimization tool, research focusing on the forecasting of group demand, creation of a forecast of catering spend, and production support of One Yield (Marriott's Revenue Management application.) Prior to joining to Marriott, Meyers worked as an Operations Research Analyst at a defense contractor supporting architectural modeling, simulation and data analysis tasks for the Missile Defense Agency (MDA).

Meyers received a Master's Degree in Operations Research from George Mason University, where she was recognized as the Distinguished Graduate in the Operations Research M.S. Program. She also holds a Bachelor's in Operations Research & Industrial Engineering from Cornell University and is a member of Omega Rho, the International Honor Society for Operations Research.

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Julia Morrison Julia Morrison currently leads the Operations Research Center of Excellence in Revenue Management Systems department at Marriott International. Her current projects include demand forecasting, pricing, and profit optimization. Prior to joining Marriott, Morrison was a consultant with McKinsey & Company, where she specialized in pricing and customer and store segmentation, while serving primarily clients in retail and consumer packaged goods sectors. She also used her background in statistics to develop a variety of analytical tools that helped her teams and her clients in solving a range of business problems, from sales force territory re-design to store labor scheduling.

Morrison holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research and Financial Engineering from Princeton University, and B.S. in Applied Physics and Mathematics from Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology. During her Ph.D. work, she developed multivariate statistical analysis package for SPLUS Statistical software. Morrison has a number of publications in peer reviewed journals.

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David Nehme David Nehme is a consultant in the area of operations research and is currently working for the Operations Research Center of Excellence at Marriott International. Previously, he worked as a consultant for ILOG, applying the CPLEX optimizer to banking, supply chain, manufacturing, trucking, portfolio and risk management problems. Prior to ILOG, he worked for US Airways leading teams in forecasting, revenue management simulation and dispatcher assignment projects. Before that, he worked for Pavilion Technologies and SEMATECH. Nehme holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research from The University of Texas at Austin and an M.Eng. and B.S. from Cornell University.

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Jerry Oglesby Jerry L. Oglesby holds a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M University, an M.S. in Mathematics from Lamar University, and a B.S. in Mathematics from the University of Mississippi. He currently works for SAS as the Director of Higher Education Consulting and Global Certification within the Education Division. This department is charged with supporting SAS in the university-wide community. It has, as its major goal, the introduction of SAS training materials and software in the curriculums of courses across many units within the universities. Prior to starting this group, he was Director of Analytical Consulting within the Professional Services Division. As Director of Analytical Consulting he grew the Department from its formation to approximately forty modelers and business analysts whose primary function was to provide analytical support and expertise to SAS' sales force and customers. This group was largely responsible for the support of the successful launch of SAS' award winning data mining solution, Enterprise Miner.

From 1990 until joining SAS in July of 1996, Jerry was employed by Monsanto Chemical Company as plant statistician and Manufacturing Technologist. He was CEO and founding President of SCI Data Systems from 1977 to 1990. Following completion of his doctorate at Texas A&M in 1971, he was a professor of Statistics at the University of West Florida where he established the Institute for Statistical and Mathematical Modeling for doing analytical and computational consulting for clients on and off campus.

Jerry serves on several advisory boards in support of statistics and data mining:

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Tom Reynolds Tom Reynolds is Manager of Agricultural Economic Research with John Deere's Agricultural Division, where he is responsible for reporting economic conditions of the North American Farm Equipment Market within the company and providing industry forecasts to the Sales and Operations process. He also oversees development of a single long-range economic analysis and industry projection for the Division. He is a member of the Global Forecast Team that redesigned Deere's forecast process and currently serves on Deere's Farm Bill Analysis Team and the Global External Insights Team. His previous employment includes Assistant Professor of Economics at North Carolina State University and Research Associate at the Center for Agricultural and Rural Development at Iowa State University, where he developed a regional econometric model of the U.S. farm sector. Reynolds has published several journal articles on econometric models and long-range forecasts of the U.S. farm sector.

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Vic Richard Vic Richard is the Analytic Consulting Manager - Operations Research Practice at the SAS Institute. His department is responsible for the application of advanced analytic techniques including mathematical optimization, simulation modeling, and inventory requirements planning. His staff is currently working on projects including inventory requirements planning for a pharmacological manufacturer, an operational planning capability for a regional LTL carrier, and a tactical planning system for a major natural gas producer/distributor.

He has extensive experience applying the tools and techniques of Operations Research to improve decision making within the production and distribution areas of major corporations spanning many industries. Some examples of this work include a distribution planning model for a large consumer products company, an integrated production/distribution planning system including demand forecasting, production/distribution planning, and production operations scheduling for a major starch manufacturing company, an advanced planning and scheduling system fully integrated with the Baan ERP system for a major paper company, product sourcing for a large beef processor, operational scrap blending system for an aluminum producer, munitions supply/demand alignment for DOD/J4 and many other projects spanning the supply chain disciplines.

Dr. Richard graduated from the U.S. Naval Academy in 1974 with a degree in Naval Operations Analysis and earned M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in Operations Research. His research interests are currently focused on hybrid algorithms for very large-scale optimization problems including production/distribution planning, operations scheduling and vehicle routing and Mixed Integer Nonlinear Programming (MINLP).

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Anne G. Robinson Anne G. Robinson is the Senior Manager - Analytical Forecasting & Modeling for demand planning in Global Supply Chain Management at Cisco. In her current role, Dr. Robinson is leading a team of Forecast Practitioners who develop and deploy sophisticated and innovative mathematical models to predict future product demand, including new product demand. The team is also responsible for providing analytical support in supply chain planning, as well as data management and business intelligence. Previously, she was part of Cisco's supply chain architecture group, focused primarily on distribution and inventory analysis.

Dr. Robinson is an active member of INFORMS (the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences) where she is the current VP of Marketing and Outreach as well as Cisco's representative on the INFORMS Roundtable. Anne earned a Master's degree in Applied Operations Research from the University of Waterloo and a Ph.D. in Industrial Engineering from Stanford University.

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Nada R. Sanders Nada R. Sanders is the James L. and Eunice West Chair in Supply Chain Management in the Neeley School of Business at Texas Christian University. She received her PhD and MBA from the Ohio State University. She has written chapters for books and encyclopedias and is co-author of the book Operations Management, in its 3rd edition. She was ranked 68th of the top 100 individuals in the field of operations management from a pool of 738 authors by a study of research productivity in U.S. business schools. Dr. Sanders is author of numerous articles that have appeared in journals such as Decision Sciences, Journal of Business Logistics, Journal of Operations Management, Omega, Interfaces, International Journal of Production and Operations Management, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Supply Chain Management Review, and others. Her research interests include business forecasting, supply chain management, and the role of information technology in the supply chain environment.

Dr. Sanders also has extensive business experience in the areas of supply chain management and business forecasting, and has worked with firms such as ATT, Bank One, MTC Corporation, and the Schottenstein Corporation. She is also a frequently called upon expert witness in the area of business forecasting and has worked with firms such as Jones, Day, Reavis & Pogue, and Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease. Dr. Sanders is the Associate Editor of FORESIGHT: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting.

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Tom Zougas Tom Zougas is a Senior Consultant at SAS Institute in Canada. He is a graduate of the University of Toronto with a Ph.D. in engineering. For the past 8 years, Dr. Zougas has provided consulting services to clients in the areas of data mining, forecasting, data quality, analytics data mart design and implementation, and report development. In his consulting engagements, he has worked with clients from a broad range of industries including financial, insurance, software, utilities, telecom, and pharmaceuticals. In addition, he recently joined the executive board for the Toronto Chapter of TDWI (The Data Warehousing Institute.)

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