Saving lives by studying data

Wake County EMS discovered variables that predict when to continue cardiac resuscitation without risk to brain function

Dr. Brent Myers understands the complex calculus involved in resuscitating patients better than most. As the Director of Wake County’s Emergency Medical Services System, he is often on the phone with paramedics deciding whether it is time to give up trying to restart someone’s heart. “There is really nothing in the literature to guide us,’’ Myers says.

That is about to change.

The Wake County (NC) EMS Service can show conclusively that paramedics can continue chest compressions on cardiac arrest victims for up to an hour with a low risk of neurological damage.

By examining the data from 2,900 cardiac arrest cases, Myers concluded that 100 people in Wake County survived cardiac arrest without brain damage because Wake EMS chose to ignore the 30-minute rule of thumb and continue chest compressions when other factors looked favorable for the patient.

Hearts across the country beat the same way, but whether the heart can be restarted is vastly different depending on where you live.... I’d like to see that change.
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Brent Myers
Director of Wake County’s Emergency Medical Services System

Myers says the 30-minute guideline is about 30 years old and predates CPR advances that call for continual compression and cooling patients. But conventional wisdom regarding how long to try and restart a heart was so entrenched that even family members would ask paramedics whether it was worth it to keep trying to restart their loved one’s heart. “You don’t want to resuscitate someone only to have them suffer brain damage,’’ Myers says.

Crafting a better guideline

Prior to this project, Myers already had some experience with analytics. When Wake EMS began adopting newer standards for heart attack patients in 2005, the paramedics kept careful data on survival rates. Actions like continued compressions, cooling patients, not moving them until a pulse is restored, and sending specially trained paramedics to the scene of every cardiac arrest victim has increased the survival rate 48 percent in Wake County.

Attempting to figure out who should receive CPR beyond 30 minutes, though, was trickier.

Hearts in crisis

There are three types of heart rhythms a paramedic encounters at a cardiac arrest scene. One is a complete lack of rhythm - a flat line. A second is the type of rhythm that can be shocked into a normal rhythm by using a defibrillator. The third rhythm shows electric activity - just no movement of blood through the heart and no option to restart the heart by shocking it. The data showed that it was worth continued compressions to try and restore a pulse in both of the latter types of heart rhythm. It was futile to continue compression efforts past 20 minutes on patients with no rhythm.

There is growing evidence that these studies are needed. In 2012, The Lancet, a well-regarded British medical journal reported on a study that said “efforts to systematically increase the duration of resuscitation could improve survival in this high-risk population.” Myers’ difficulty was that he isn’t an epidemiologist, nor does the county have one on staff. To produce a paper that would be accepted by a respected journal or conference, and for the results to be adopted by other EMS services, Myers needed some expert help. “If we talk about our results they’ll be challenged,’’ Myers says. “We need to make sure they meet the requirements of scientific research.’’

Myers believes that this particular effort is just a start. He wants to further explore what types of biomedical signs (such as the concentration of carbon dioxide in an exhaled breath - a measure of blood flow into and out of the lungs) indicate a better chance of succeeding with compressions. He wants to continue sharing his data analysis and encourage other EMS systems to measure what they are experiencing and share those data.

“Hearts across the country beat the same way, but whether the heart can be restarted is vastly different depending on where you live,’’ Myers says. “I’d like to see that change.”

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Challenge

Help people survive cardiac arrest by understanding how long to continue cardiac resuscitation without causing brain damage.

Solution

SAS Advanced Analytics Lab for State and Local Government

Benefits

The Wake County (NC) EMS Service discovered variables that predict when it makes sense to continue cardiac resuscitation without risk to brain function.

The results illustrated in this article are specific to the particular situations, business models, data input, and computing environments described herein. Each SAS customer’s experience is unique based on business and technical variables and all statements must be considered non-typical. Actual savings, results, and performance characteristics will vary depending on individual customer configurations and conditions. SAS does not guarantee or represent that every customer will achieve similar results. The only warranties for SAS products and services are those that are set forth in the express warranty statements in the written agreement for such products and services. Nothing herein should be construed as constituting an additional warranty. Customers have shared their successes with SAS as part of an agreed-upon contractual exchange or project success summarization following a successful implementation of SAS software. Brand and product names are trademarks of their respective companies.

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